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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 75% (594–197, n=791) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $7.3K | $779K | $19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #444 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 53% (9 of 17 open) | 59% (136 of 229 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | College Football −5 pts, n=37 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 316 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 13% (won 20% of 40) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 10% of 30) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 37% (won 45% of 117) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 29% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 49% (won 61% of 156) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 55% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 34% (won 83% of 30) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $4.9K | — | Clippers $50K | Suns $533 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $6.7K | — | Celtics $20K | 76ers $1.2K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $128K | — | — | Kings $2 |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | — | Ciryl Gane $47K | — |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $32K | — | — | San Diego Toreros $44 |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski opposite sides · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $21K | — | — | Maks Kasnikowski $4.9K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $19K | — | — | Under $3.7K |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Clippers $18K | Suns $238 |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $12K | — | — | Knicks $4.9K |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $323 | — | — | Knicks $9.3K |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $7.5K | — | — | Knicks $1.5K |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | — | Magic $201 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $502 | — | — | Under $3.2K |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $2.4K | — | — | Bucks $1.1K |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.2K | — | Clippers $1.0K | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $172 | — | — | Over $90 |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | — | Celtics $166 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $32K | — | Celtics $111K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $41K | — | — | Heat $6.7K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $13K | — | — | Miami (OH) $26 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A same side · consensus FURIA | FURIA $10K | — | — | FURIA $10 |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $10 | Celtics $671 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $9 | — | — | Jazz $211 |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $128 | Kings $11 |