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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AppleTiime | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (211–228, n=439) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | -$23K | $7.6M | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #488 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 89% (32 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (21 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | College Football −10 pts, n=63 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 428 at avg 47¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 46) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 42% of 159) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 51% (won 56% of 220) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AppleTiime | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | Alexandra Eala $4.1K | — | — | Claire Liu $10K |