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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BackTestEoCaraio | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (49–22, n=71) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (14023–15521, n=29544) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $130K | $11.1M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #352 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 40% (39 of 97 open) | 50% (41 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 96 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 44% of 9) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 100% of 9) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 100% of 73) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BackTestEoCaraio | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $207K | Pelicans $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $46K | Pelicans $360 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Hawks $190 | Pacers $110 | — |