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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bagwell306 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (3813–2705, n=6518) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $245K | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #499 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 66% (101 of 153 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 3322 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 95% of 210) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 99% of 1771) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 100% of 1062) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 99% of 279) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bagwell306 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | Jets $4.3K | Jets $192 | — |
| Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.0K | Over $14 | — |