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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bagwell306 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (3815–2704, n=6519) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 50% (969–959, n=1928) |
| Consensus PnL | $245K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #499 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 3327 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 95% of 210) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 99% of 1775) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 100% of 1063) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 99% of 279) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bagwell306 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.4K | — | — | Over $91 |
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $14 | — | Steelers $963 |