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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Barkshire-Hathaway | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (695–351, n=1046) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $114K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (9 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1460 at avg 51¢, ROI +6% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 21% of 365) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 46% of 334) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 73% of 335) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 92% of 426) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Barkshire-Hathaway | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.4K | — | No $184K |