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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BiggggggggprimmRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)41% (1387–2017, n=3404)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market
Consensus PnL$559K$3.5M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #52PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus85% (893 of 1056 open)no open consensus position64% (107 of 167 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=106———
Settled positions, side won67% of 3627 at avg 66¢, ROI 0%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 7% of 1043)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 177)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 67% of 176)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up62% (won 97% of 2231)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.