Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market74% (423–151, n=574)68% (302–139, n=441)
Consensus PnL$779K—$44K-$51K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #485PM monthly #19PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position70% (35 of 50 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +2 pts n=35, ROI 0%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −3 pts, n=23Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%57% of 84 at avg 61¢, ROI −7%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)18% (won 7% of 15)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)17% (won 64% of 14)19% (won 29% of 17)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)30% (won 48% of 25)13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)36% (won 87% of 30)34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpRN1
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin
opposite sides · consensus Michael Geerts
——Michael Geerts $1.2KJuan Martin $2.8K
Hersonissos 3: Ioannis Xilas vs Sergey Fomin
opposite sides · consensus Ioannis Xilas
——Ioannis Xilas $1.7KSergey Fomin $1.2K