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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | FlamePyro | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 62% (409–254, n=663) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.8K | $5.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #756 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #54 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −19 pts, n=20 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 543 at avg 60¢, ROI +9% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 14% (won 20% of 74) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 37% of 103) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 27% (won 65% of 149) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 86% of 217) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | FlamePyro | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | Notre Dame $47K | — | Notre Dame $169K |