Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpHauchnndb1
Record (consensus markets)95% (310–15, n=325)49% (33–34, n=67)no settled marketno settled market
Consensus PnL$8.4M$35K$117K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #146PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus84% (32 of 38 open)70% (176 of 253 open)57% (8 of 14 open)74% (67 of 90 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12Finance −1 pts, n=121NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)89% (won 2% of 108)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 43% of 7)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)1% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 6)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpHauchnndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425K——No $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $217KBills $77——