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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpKunkun111
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)59% (16–11, n=27)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23was PM monthly #807
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)72% (169 of 235 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%79% of 14 at avg 38¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)29% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)43% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)21% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)7% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpKunkun111
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Casper Ruud $2.6KJan-Lennard Struff $11K