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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpKunkun111RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)58% (18–13, n=31)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$3.6K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10was PM monthly #807PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus84% (27 of 32 open)69% (129 of 186 open)no open consensus position55% (42 of 77 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%79% of 14 at avg 38¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)29% (won 75% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)43% (won 67% of 6)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)21% (won 100% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)7% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpKunkun111RN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K——Jaguars $5.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K——Jaguars $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837——Jaguars $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $412—Canucks $867
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $678
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $153—Oilers $675
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $79—Warriors $520
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428—Warriors $110
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $29—Under $353
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $120—Over $71
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $56—Over $128
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $131—Yes $33
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $2.8K—Thiago Seyboth Wild $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $9.6K—Over $1.2K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3K—Over $2.4K
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $226
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $246—No $2.2K
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $630
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293——Ravens $1.2K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8—Under $326
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—No $219—No $92
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Red Wings $19—Red Wings $253
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174—Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Flyers vs. Rangers
same side · consensus Rangers
—Flyers $83—Flyers $98
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $158—Under $13
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $18—Canucks $95
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $28—Over $9