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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | haveagoodday | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 37% (1544–2580, n=4124) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $31K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #125 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 62% (134 of 216 open) | 79% (274 of 347 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | haveagoodday | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $30K | Pelicans $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $323 | Pelicans $2.0K | — | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $75K | Jazz $6.2K | — | — |