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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorphaveagoodday
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)38% (1563–2556, n=4119)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #123
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)73% (150 of 206 open)75% (247 of 330 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −3 pts, n=555
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)32% (won 1% of 760)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)4% (won 42% of 101)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)7% (won 63% of 156)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)58% (won 96% of 1382)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.