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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | jeremyclar | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6509–6024, n=12533) | 43% (55–72, n=127) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$6.9K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | was PM monthly #871 | PM monthly #90 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (28 of 33 open) | 68% (131 of 192 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 68% (59 of 87 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NBA −2 pts, n=55 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 69% (won 40% of 72) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 20% (won 43% of 21) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 10% (won 90% of 10) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | jeremyclar | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $192K | — | Jaguars $3.9K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $89K | — | Jaguars $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lightning | — | Blackhawks $56 | Lightning $855 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | — | No $335K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.4K | — | Ravens $976 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-7.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $144 | Warriors $826 | — |