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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6473–6009, n=12482) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 56% (11654–9308, n=20962) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.2M | -$187K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #113 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 74% (118 of 159 open) | 69% (61 of 88 open) | 78% (67 of 86 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Mentions −4 pts, n=869 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 36% of 6835 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 61% (won 0% of 4160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 47% of 137) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 3% (won 61% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 34% (won 96% of 2305) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | northdrawer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |