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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | pollo07 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 40% (370–551, n=921) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $3.3M | $4.2M | $40K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #77 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 63% (259 of 413 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 65% (20 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Elections −3 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 51% (won 1% of 207) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 3% (won 45% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 2% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 44% (won 96% of 179) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | pollo07 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $642K | No $165K | No $234K | — |