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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | zerone777 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 42% (411–565, n=976) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.2M | $36K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #99 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (17 of 28 open) | 62% (152 of 244 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 55% (22 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Mentions −2 pts, n=47 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 56% (won 1% of 189) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 5% (won 61% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 36% (won 97% of 120) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | zerone777 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $330K | Pacers $3.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | Pelicans $29 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | Pelicans $276 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $343 | Pacers $256 | — | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $61K | Jazz $520 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $944 | Pistons $973 | — | — |