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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpverifly
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)34% (143–279, n=422)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$339K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #15was PM monthly #874
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)73% (107 of 147 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports −2 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)32% (won 21% of 131)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)55% (won 41% of 227)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)13% (won 43% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpverifly
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273T1 $42K