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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HVAB | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 80% (626–160, n=786) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 48% (14232–15729, n=29961) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $440K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #677 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (52 of 78 open) | 55% (18 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 703 at avg 78¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 13% of 31) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 8% (won 57% of 56) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 18% (won 72% of 128) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 69% (won 95% of 488) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HVAB | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |