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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | JoeytheReal | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 50% (623–623, n=1246) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$6.6K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #881 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 52% (22 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Tennis −2 pts, n=321 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 50% of 878 at avg 52¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 18% (won 18% of 157) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 29% (won 37% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 29% (won 59% of 254) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 80% of 215) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | JoeytheReal | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles opposite sides · consensus Ryo Tabata | — | Johan Nikles $175 | Ryo Tabata $20K |