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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMKSafendb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)61% (11–7, n=18)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.9K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #261PM monthly #149PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)28% (5 of 18 open)74% (34 of 46 open)63% (109 of 172 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%35% of 20 at avg 34¢, ROI +12%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)50% (won 10% of 10)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 75% of 4)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)15% (won 33% of 3)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)15% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMKSafendb1RN1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K——No $146