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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 98% (12092–294, n=12386) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14379–15895, n=30274) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $645K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #273 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 53% (17 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 96% of 11568 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 18% of 234) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 2% (won 48% of 221) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 2% (won 56% of 177) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 95% (won 99% of 10936) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |