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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Michael-The-Taxiarch | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 56% (53–41, n=94) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $31K | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #533 | PM monthly #148 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 67% (132 of 198 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 98 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 45% (won 7% of 44) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 12% (won 50% of 12) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 10% (won 70% of 10) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 97% of 32) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Michael-The-Taxiarch | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $63K | — | — | Yes $20K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.2K | — | — | Yes $96 |