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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | SaylorMoon | SineNooneEI | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | no settled market | 92% (471–42, n=513) | 59% (296–204, n=500) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | — | $1.0M | $899K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #589 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #230 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (35 of 46 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | 5% (won 83% of 23) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | 36% (won 88% of 182) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | 44% (won 93% of 224) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | 16% (won 99% of 82) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | SaylorMoon | SineNooneEI | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $28K | Yes $20K | — | — |