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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | classified | JamesAltucher | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 59% (191–132, n=323) | no settled market | 57% (293–219, n=512) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $783K | -$9 | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #340 | was PM monthly #531 | PM monthly #157 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (35 of 46 open) | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 100% (8 of 8 open) | 73% (65 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | — | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 46% (won 4% of 152) | — | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 4% (won 47% of 15) | — | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 7% (won 78% of 23) | — | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 43% (won 98% of 144) | — | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | classified | JamesAltucher | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | — | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | — | Yes $12K |