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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)58% (1072–790, n=1862)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$90K$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #743PM monthly #17PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)0% (0 of 1 open)64% (151 of 237 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 37% of 155)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)14% (won 75% of 214)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)47% (won 97% of 694)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651K—No $40K—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $7.1K—Celtics $215—