← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | duratio12 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 44% (25–32, n=57) | 43% (11756–15327, n=27083) | 64% (1102–633, n=1735) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $8.3K | -$9.4M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #873 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 73% (71 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 57% of 54 at avg 50¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 19% (won 10% of 10) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 35% (won 47% of 19) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 22% (won 75% of 12) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 92% of 13) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | duratio12 | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | — | — | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | — | Yes $12K |