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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 74% (11398–3910, n=15308) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $925K | $5.6M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #1 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 73% (361 of 493 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 38% (won 19% of 2052) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 7% (won 53% of 368) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 9% (won 72% of 497) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 46% (won 97% of 2506) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | joseph00677 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16K | No $1.6K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $15K | No $808 | — | — |