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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.1M$3.6M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #126PM monthly #11PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)76% (22 of 29 open)75% (151 of 202 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.5KOver $2.7K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Taylor Fritz $3.5KCarlos Alcaraz $1.4K—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Sumit Nagal $4.2KKilian Feldbausch $241—
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.1KOver $3—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.5K76ers $188—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $6.2KAidan Mayo $3.8K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $1.9KCeltics $222—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Zsombor Piros $996Zsombor Piros $233—
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs tao toma (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
same side · consensus tao toma
—tao toma $60tao toma $2—