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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | god83743894 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 35% (3011–5637, n=8648) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | -$36K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #535 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (76 of 109 open) | 73% (58 of 79 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −7 pts, n=4227 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 27% of 6309 at avg 33¢, ROI −5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 70% (won 1% of 4397) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 2% (won 40% of 126) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 3% (won 55% of 166) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 26% (won 96% of 1620) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $677 | No $169 | — |