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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | god83743894 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 32% (3349–6962, n=10311) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$37K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #512 | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (76 of 110 open) | 65% (51 of 79 open) | 71% (30 of 42 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −7 pts, n=4652 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 29% of 7204 at avg 34¢, ROI −5% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 68% (won 1% of 4909) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 2% (won 38% of 146) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 3% (won 54% of 201) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 27% (won 96% of 1948) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.