← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 32% (3349–6962, n=10311) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | -$37K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #512 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 69% (76 of 110 open) | 65% (51 of 79 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Weather −7 pts, n=4652 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 29% of 7204 at avg 34¢, ROI −5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 68% (won 1% of 4909) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 2% (won 38% of 146) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 3% (won 54% of 201) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 27% (won 96% of 1948) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $181K | No $23 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $26K | No $129 | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.1K | No $156 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | — | No $265K | No $138 | — |