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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankgod83743894joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)27% (3415–9025, n=12440)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.9M-$132K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #216PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus81% (26 of 32 open)76% (129 of 169 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +2 pts n=42, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Weather −7 pts, n=5548—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%28% of 8247 at avg 33¢, ROI −5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)69% (won 1% of 5687)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)2% (won 40% of 158)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)3% (won 54% of 213)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)27% (won 96% of 2189)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankgod83743894joseph00677
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $16KNo $61—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KNo $154—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $12KNo $251—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $148—