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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankgod83743894sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (547–663, n=1210)33% (3372–6990, n=10362)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$11.0M-$36K$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1PM monthly #505was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (83 of 110 open)67% (60 of 90 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Weather −7 pts, n=4652—
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%29% of 7204 at avg 34¢, ROI −5%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 79% of 58)68% (won 1% of 4909)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 200)2% (won 38% of 146)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 194)3% (won 54% of 201)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 107)27% (won 96% of 1948)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankgod83743894sainttroplay
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $185KNo $22—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26KNo $129—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.3KNo $156—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
—No $265KNo $138—