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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankhaveagooddayRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)37% (1513–2547, n=4060)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$31K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #121PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)79% (171 of 217 open)62% (127 of 205 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections −3 pts, n=555—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)32% (won 1% of 760)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)4% (won 42% of 101)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)7% (won 63% of 156)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)58% (won 96% of 1382)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankhaveagooddayRN1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $642K—No $6.5K