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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 37% (1513–2547, n=4060) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $31K | $4.2M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #150 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 79% (169 of 215 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $642K | — | No $234K | — |