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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankimjustkenisgheyprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)50% (444–447, n=891)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$128K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #428PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)50% (6 of 12 open)71% (12 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NHL −14 pts, n=61—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%43% of 763 at avg 43¢, ROI +3%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 25% of 75)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)68% (won 41% of 519)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)20% (won 52% of 149)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)3% (won 95% of 20)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankimjustkenisgheyprimm
Cincinnati vs. Houston
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Cincinnati $3.5KHouston $34K
Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
opposite sides · consensus Kansas State
—Kansas State $3.5KOklahoma State $28
Spread: Ohio State (-6.5)
same side · consensus Oregon
—Oregon $340Oregon $4.9K