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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (807–750, n=1557) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | $90K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #249 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (26 of 39 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (25 of 45 open) | 49% (17 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Billy Harris opposite sides · consensus Jan Kumstat | — | — | Jan Kumstat $1.1K | Billy Harris $6.5K |
| W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan | — | — | Aoi Ito $60 | Katie Swan $299 |