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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14178–15785, n=29963) | 54% (4636–3929, n=8565) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.6M | $14.8M | $151K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #201 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (160 of 188 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (42 of 75 open) | 72% (43 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1039 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 68% of 4667 at avg 69¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 26% (won 3% of 1220) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 4% (won 35% of 183) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 5% (won 58% of 225) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 65% (won 97% of 3039) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | VictorLudorum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | — | — | No $133 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $620 | — | — | No $363 |