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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) | 52% (301–278, n=579) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.6M | $14.8M | -$63K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (84 of 110 open) | no open consensus position | 49% (29 of 59 open) | 22% (2 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=75 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 21% (won 14% of 123) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 23% (won 48% of 136) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 32% (won 59% of 193) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 25% (won 81% of 147) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | — | — | No $16K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $737 | — | — | Yes $5.5K |