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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677UpTheBluesWagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)95% (13580–668, n=14248)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$3.2M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #8PM monthly #971
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position68% (30 of 44 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6995, ROI +14%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%98% of 6995 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 99% of 2699)4% (won 72% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 7974)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 8588)11% (won 97% of 772)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)52% (won 100% of 20470)76% (won 100% of 5336)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.