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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | no settled market | 62% (366–222, n=588) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | — | $325K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | — | PM monthly #972 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 57% (13 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | — | 47% of 622 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | — | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | — | 18% (won 43% of 109) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | — | 13% (won 81% of 79) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | — | 25% (won 95% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $482K | — | — | Yes $8.3K |