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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | juice-fruit | ndb1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market | 63% (12–7, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $779K | $152K | — | $251K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #31 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #20 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 64% (9 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 33% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 44% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | juice-fruit | ndb1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Clippers $27K | — | — | Suns $6.8K |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $122K | — | — | Celtics $202K |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $184 | — | — | Celtics $52K |