← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lastminwin | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 48% (19552–21306, n=40858) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $282K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #93 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 70% (40 of 57 open) | 61% (17 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $73K | No $15K | — |