← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 53% (4798–4251, n=9049) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $4.2M | $14.8M | $103K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (17 of 28 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 61% (115 of 187 open) | 69% (24 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1210 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 67% of 5058 at avg 67¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 28% (won 2% of 1396) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 4% (won 34% of 186) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 5% (won 59% of 230) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 64% (won 97% of 3246) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | VictorLudorum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | — | Pelicans $136 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | — | Pelicans $130 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $343 | — | Grizzlies $118 | — |