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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | stepanka1234 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 78% (57–16, n=73) | 50% (19560–19625, n=39185) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $35K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #150 | PM monthly #603 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (80 of 119 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 51 at avg 78¢, ROI +20% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 0% | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 0% | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 78% (won 100% of 40) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | stepanka1234 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $642K | No $234K | — | — |