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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 59% (10821–7615, n=18436) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $45K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #162 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (80 of 113 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −2 pts, n=942 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 40% of 5327 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 56% (won 0% of 2980) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 44% of 129) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 4% (won 62% of 209) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 38% (won 96% of 2009) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | northdrawer |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $291K | No $95 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $43K | No $320 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $157 | No $42 |