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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)95% (13678–685, n=14363)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M$14.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #49PM monthly #26 + pinnedPM monthly #960
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (3 of 4 open)61% (28 of 46 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5673)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9163)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1WagerWizard
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $496Over $12
Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $495Yes $5
Will Jiangxi Dingnan United win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $71No $225
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $61Yes $70
Shenzhen Juniors FC vs. Suzhou Dongwu: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $44Over $40
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $40Over $40
Shaanxi Union FC vs. Guangxi Hengchen FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $23Over $14
Guandong GZ-Power FC vs. Nanjing City: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $997Over $56
Ningbo Professional FC vs. Jiangxi Dingnan United: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $921Over $17