← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BunCaCham | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (2609–68, n=2677) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$134K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #839 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports ±0 pts, n=908 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 2644 at avg 97¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 13% of 24) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 65% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 97% (won 99% of 2562) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BunCaCham | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $892 | Yes $83K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $272 | Yes $58K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $890 | Yes $51K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | Yes $23K | — |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.2K | Yes $12K | — |
| Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.6K | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $11 | No $215K | — |